Quantum BiasSectionsMacro
Macro
Rates, the Fed and the economic calendar, as they reach NQ and ES.
Interest Rates and the Nasdaq: Do Rising Yields Hurt Tech Stocks?
"Higher yields hurt tech" is true only some of the time. From 2000 to 2026, the link between the 10-year yield and the Nasdaq-100 changed sign with the regime.
Fed Rate Cut: What Happens to Stocks After the First Cut?
After the Fed's first cut, the S&P 500 fell 10–14% over a year twice and rose 8–18% twice. The difference was a recession. Every first cut and hike since 2000, measured.
Recession and the Stock Market: When Do Stocks Bottom?
Every S&P 500 decline of 10% or more since 1999, set against official recession dates. The market peaked before every recession, and bottomed before two of the three ended.
Pre-Market Checklist for NQ Futures: 8 Checks Before the Open
A pre-market macro checklist for NQ futures: the calendar, overnight futures, chip leaders, yields, the dollar and the Fed, checked before 09:30 ET.
FOMC Week Trading: Does the Fed Cycle Still Move the Nasdaq?
A 2019 study found stocks earn their premium in even weeks of the Fed cycle. We retested it on the Nasdaq-100 from 2017 to 2026. It did not hold.